Borders

(Note: This was originally posted on January 19, 2025 at a different site when I was temporarily locked out of this one.)

Some nations defend their borders with a stern ferocity but take little to no interest in the borders of other nations.  Switzerland is an example.  Their armed forces are prepared to defend the country against attack – watch it, Liechtenstein – but Switzerland does not engage in military action anywhere else.  Switzerland did not even join the U.N. until 2002, and only after a national referendum authorized the action.

Other nations who guard their borders jealously are less careful about those of their neighbors.  Mexico and Russia are two nations that take this approach.  Mexico guards its southern border but provides generous assistance to the millions of its citizens, residents, and visitors who would prefer to live in the United States.

Russia takes its border seriously, although it does not have to deal with an influx of migrants: a slow afternoon on the Rio Grande will see more migrants than Russia would encounter in a decade.  On the other hand, in the last 20 years, Russia has meddled aggressively in the affairs of its neighbors.  It invaded Georgia during the Bush 43 administration, Crimea during the Obama years, and most recently Ukraine in 2022.

Then there is the United States, which for the last four years has done little to control the unlawful flow of some ten million persons across its southern border.  Indeed, Biden’s people actively encouraged the flow by dismantling the physical, legal, and diplomatic controls that Trump 45 put in place.

This attitude contrasts with the reaction of Biden’s people to the Russian invasion of Ukraine.  The protection of Ukraine’s borders, in their view, is worth hundreds of millions, “as much as it takes” in the words of the highly decorated General Mark Milley.

In addition, the U.S. has given Ukraine offensive weapons, capable of striking targets inside Russia, and has authorized Ukraine to use them even though we have no obligation to defend Ukraine.  Russia has the world’s largest collection of nuclear weapons.  The nation that put Mr. Biden in the White House must rely on the willingness of Vladimir Putin to exercise patience and restraint, qualities for which he is not well known.

During the last four years, we have not heard a rationale for either policy that stands up to analysis. 

If the United States is going to use military force, either directly or through proxies, it should be for the purpose of defending the country’s national interest.  What is the interest of the United States in maintaining the borders of Ukraine in the location they occupied in February 2022?

Why did Russia’s invasion of Ukraine require the U.S. and its NATO allies to arm Ukraine?  We are told that the U.S. is defending democracy.  That premise doesn’t survive the reflection that Ukraine’s government has outlawed opposition parties. 

We are told that the U.S. must defend the international order.  There is no question that we should defend the internation order.  What is left unexplained is why the imposition of economic and financial sanctions was not enough to satisfy this obligation.

What is the interest of the United States that would be damaged by the relocation of Ukraine’s border with Russia?  Unless we can point to something concrete that would be lost by adjusting those borders, we should limit our response to economic sanctions.

Compare Ukraine to Taiwan.  As with Ukraine, the U.S. is not party to a treaty that requires the U.S. to defend Taiwan.  (The U.S. has enacted a statute that makes the defense of Taiwan the policy of the U.S.  That policy does not give Taiwan the right to call upon U.S. military power as a matter of right.)  Unlike Ukraine, Taiwan produces something we need: advanced computer chips that are vital to the continued development of information technology and computing systems throughout the developed nations.  The disruption of the information processing capabilities of the United States and its allies would have a significant adverse impact on a vital interest of the United States.

The use of military force to defend that interest would be amply justified if Taiwan were invaded.  The justification for military action in that event would not be based on a generality like the defense of democracy, the preservation of international order, or our feelings of solidarity with the people of Taiwan.  Those are sentiments, not interests. 

The use of force would be justified to repel (and the threat of force to discourage) an enemy action that adversely affects a vital national interest.  No vital interest been cited as a reason for the supply of arms to Ukraine during the three years since Russia invaded Ukraine – to be clear, without justification and in violation of civilized norms.

When it comes to the borders of the United States, Biden’s people have taken a different approach.  They occasionally invoke sentiment – the poem at the base of the Statue of Liberty is useful for this purpose – but the principal approach has been stout denial.  They insist that the border is under control.  The Secretary of Homeland Security has made this claim numerous times, including under oath in testimony before Congress.

Making this statement and others like it has provided the administration with two benefits, one strategic, one tactical.  The strategic benefit is that it helps to soften the mind of followers and supporters.  Theodore Dalyrmple (the penname of Anthony Daniels) points out that totalitarian governments force their citizens to believe obvious lies as part of a general plan to weaken their will and their ability to reason.  What totalitarians accomplish through force and terror can be achieved by leaders in freer societies through guile and deception when supine journalists are willing to cooperate. 

The tactical benefit of stout denial is that the administration is not called to justify an open border policy.  If you deny that something is happening, you don’t have to explain or justify it.

Nevertheless, some ten million persons entered the country unlawfully during the last four years to join the ranks of perhaps twenty million others who arrived during previous administrations (including Trump 45, although his numbers are better than those of his two predecessors).

We can ask the same question we did about arming Ukraine: what benefit does the United States derive from the entry into the country of some ten million persons without legal authority?  While there are some individuals among them who pose danger – inmates of Venezuelan prisons, members of drug cartels, agents of unfriendly foreign powers, including China – the majority are people whose skills are not essential to the functioning of an advanced economy.  Our cutting-edge industries may need immigrants with critical skills – that’s the subject of the intra-party debate about H-1B visas – but the people with those skills are entering with visas through ports of entry.  They are not pouring through holes in the fence on the southern border.

Biden’s people will remain silent on the justification for this policy right up to the inauguration on January 20.  There simply isn’t a justification for this lawless policy.

How will Trump 47 deal with the presence of so many unlawful residents?  We have been promised mass deportations.  Polling indicates that significant majorities of the public favor this policy.  Will that support continue when the news media begin to show footage of crying mothers and screaming children?  I expect that the footage is ready for broadcast as soon as the new administration gets beyond the deportation of felons and violent offenders.  That’s what happened during the previous Trump administration when the media began showing “kids in cages”.  The video showed scenes from the Obama years, but it was Trump who was blamed for separating “mommas and their babies” as Senator Elizabeth Warren put it in her folksy way.

Majorities will be happy to see action on “Day One”.  We will find out quickly whether that enthusiasm will continue as the process of deporting millions stretches into months. 

                                                                                Gerry Bresslour

                                                                                January 19, 2025

3 thoughts on “Borders”

  1. Gerry, thanks for including me in your distribution list. Seeing your figures of 10 M illegal immigrants into the US (presumably at the southern border) during the Biden administration, and 20 M already here during earlier administrations, I wondered where the numbers came from.  The 10 M is close to the figure of 10.8 M “encounters” at the border from numerous sources, but this figure includes repeat offenders as well as people who were not admitted to the US. Homeland Security has estimated some 8 + M illegal immigrants in the US, but I could not find a clear explanation of how that count was made. Trump has spoken of expelling 18 M, well short of the 30 M total of your two figures, and Trump has a tendency to exaggerate.  If this is an item of information of special interest to you, you might do a posting of how an accurate figure should be calculated. Whatever the number is, it surely amounts to many millions, and it is much greater than the 3 M people who were granted a path to citizenship when Reagan was President.  Still, it is my belief that most of the less well educated illegal immigrants (the vast majority) are gainfully employed and are in fact supporting the social safety net through some of their employers’ contributions to social security (even though the workers themselves cannot benefit from the contributions).  These are the people who mow our lawns, build much of our new housing, and provide day care for American children as well as full time care for American elderly.  If a large number were to be expelled by Trump, the care especially of our elderly population would be much more at risk.

    On the point of why the US is assisting Ukraine in resisting Russian aggression, I would agree that it’s not pursuant to a treaty approved by the Senate, or a mere promise of assistance as was given to Taiwan.  Rather, I see it as part of the US’s long term commitment to Europe, following World Wars I and II, to support the sanctity of the historical borders that were established initially after 1945, and later after the partition of Yugoslavia.  That’s the reason, in my opinion, that Clinton began a bombing campaign against Serbia when it tried to incorporate portions of new neighboring countries, and that Biden started a lesser commitment of supplying weapons to Ukraine when Russia attempted to conquer the entire country, a huge area that is about the size of Texas.  Putin’s justifications re-write history, claiming that Ukraine’s religion and culture are derived from Moscow, when in fact the opposite is more the case–see Timothy Snyder’s course on Ukrainian history available on uTube. 

    Of course, the US has exercised this “commitment” selectively, passing up earlier opportunities to become involved in Hungary and Czechoslovakia.  Nevertheless, it resonates with Americans who see ourselves primarily as part of Western (European) civilization.

    John Impert

  2. PS.  On Ukraine, the United States (and Russia) agreed as a condition of Ukraine’s giving up its nuclear weapons c. 1990 that both guaranteed its independence.  Russia obviously reneged on this undertaking in its first incursion into Ukraine a few years ago.  However, if you compare it to our undertakings vis-a-vis Taiwan, it should be just as important in terms of the credibility of our international commitments.  Even though Ukraine lacks much of Taiwan’s high technology, its agricultural potential is greater than any other country in Europe, and it is a leader today in inexpensive drone technology and operations.

  3. Hi John,

    Thanks for reading and commenting. A few quick thoughts:

    Numbers: The estimate of ten million unauthorized migrants entering the U.S. during Biden’s term is derived from the 10.9 million “encounters” reported by DHS. Some of those 10.9 are double-counted as individuals cross and re-cross the border (so the 10 million number may be too high), but most end up being allowed into the U.S. The 10.9 million “encounter” number doesn’t include “gottaways”, so the ten million person figure for entries during the Biden years is not precise, but likely not wildly wrong either.

    The 20 million number of unauthorized persons in the country at the start of the Biden administration derives from two figures. The Census Bureau estimated roughly 10.2 million as of the start of 2021. Center for Immigration Studies puts the number at the start of 2022 at 11.2 million; Pew puts it a bit lower than CIS. However, none of those figures includes “visa overstays” — people who entered the country legally on a visa and then stayed when their visa expired. I have seen estimates that this number could be twice the number of unauthorized migrants, but I stayed with a more believable 1x, or roughly ten million visa overstays, bringing the total to a rough guess of 20 million. Again, certainly imprecise, but likely somewhere in the ballpark.

    Jobs: You point out that unauthorized migrants do the jobs that Americans don’t want to do, as Bush 43 put it. Wouldn’t it be more accurate to say that Americans won’t do these jobs at third world wages? After all, there was a time when lawful residents — often legal immigrants — did a lot of these jobs as they took the first steps up the economic ladder. It’s notable that blue collar wages went up during the first three Trump 45 years coincident with the drop in the flow of illegal immigration.

    Ukraine: I agree that the U.S. is and will remain (and should remain) the anchor of the West. I agree that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine was unlawful and was a violation of the 1990 memorandum among Russia, Ukraine, and the U.S. The economic, diplomatic, financial, and commercial sanctions against Russia are fully justified. The question is whether an interest of the United States has been so adversely affected that the nation should risk an armed conflict with a nuclear power.

    Thanks again for reading and commenting.

    GB 1/24/25

Leave a comment