The Trump Tapes

Some twenty years ago America was asked whether the kind of foul language that Donald Trump has used and the revolting behavior that he is accused of are acceptable in a public official.  The answer was: Yes.  It’s OK.  Bill Clinton was forgiven for the same or worse.  Instead, the Congress that impeached him was punished.  A two-term president usually suffers serious losses in both houses of Congress in his second off-year election.  Reagan lost the Senate in 1986.  George W. Bush lost both houses in 2006.  In 2014, Barack Obama lost 13 seats in the House (already in Republican hands) and saw the Senate switch to Republican control.  Yet, in 1998, the Democrats gained four seats in the House and lost no net Senate seats in the wake of the impeachment of President (Bill) Clinton.

The nation was persuaded that the sexual misbehavior of which Bill Clinton was credibly accused was separate and distinct from his ability to perform the functions of his high office.  Even the charge of rape, sufficiently credible to persuade NBC to hold the story until after the impeachment trial had ended, has never produced more than a yawn from the public.  How is it that the people who gave Bill Clinton a pass reach for the smelling salts when the less appealing Mr. Trump turns up covered with the same pitch?

I don’t see the adolescent conversation as particularly disqualifying for Donald Trump.  I agree that the alleged sexual harrassment would be disqualifying if the accusations proved to be true.  For the same reason, I think Bill Clinton should have been removed from office for his goings on in the White House.  In the case of Mr. Trump, he was already unqualified to serve as president, so the alleged behavior would make him even more fully disqualified than many sensible people thought he was in the first place.  But let’s remember that there is a whole boat load of public officials with similar resumes, some of whom served without any complaints from their constituents.  Teddy Kennedy died in office.  Larry Craig chose not to run for re-election but served out his term.  The list of reprobates is much longer, needless to say.

In my humble opinion, someone who cannot govern himself or herself has no business governing others.  Why on earth would you for a moment allow policy on taxation, or trade, national defense, public health, or anything else of importance to be decided by someone who governs his conduct by soliciting sex in a public bathroom (to mention a Republican senator) or receiving oral sex in the work place (to mention a Democratic president)?

Rational people would not turn over political power to such individuals.  I would put each one of them out of office if I could.

But that’s just me.  The American public came to a different conclusion.  Bill Clinton left office with a very high approval rating.  He lost some ground when the public judged that he sold pardons at the end of his time in office.  He founded the various Clinton charities to rebuild his reputation and at this point his financial and sexual transgressions in office seem to have been forgotten even as later ones of both varieties have been overlooked.

And let’s remember that the inability to govern oneself can be displayed in ways other than sexual misconduct.  Financial corruption, lying, contempt for legal standards and requirements, these too are symptoms of an un-self-governed personality, one that is unfit to govern others.  Polling at time of writing suggests that a plurality at least of the American voting public is not moved by such considerations.

The Trump incidents point out the staggering incompetence of his primary opponents.  The taped conversations that NBC released after a decade in the vault were between Trump and a fellow named Billy Bush.  We understand that he is a cousin of Jeb, or rather Jeb!  The two of them could have worked together to bring the tapes to our attention back when Jeb was still a candidate.  But perhaps Billy could see ahead to the trouble he would be in if the taped conversations were made public.  Also, Jeb! might have felt that gentlemen of his age, class, and station in life do not engage in gutter politics.

But such a constraint was not binding on Marco Rubio or Chris Christie or Scott Walker, to name but three of the mighty 16 that Trump ultimately defeated.  I understand that Trump was a frequent guest on Howard Stern’s program in the 1990s and 2000s, where he engaged in the kind of adolescent summer camp monologues that we have become so familiar with in recent weeks.  The material to do him in was readily available.  You didn’t need a cousin at NBC to manage the job.

Was there no one among the 16 non-Trump Republican candidates prepared to do whatever it took to be rid of him?  We now know that it would have been easy to do, once this material was exposed.  When Henry II became exasperated at the insubordination of Thomas à Becket, the Archbishop of Canterbury, he said (or is supposed to have said) “Will no one rid me of this troublesome priest?”  He said it in the presence of four of his loyal followers and days later Becket was dead, stabbed in his own cathedral, his blood flowing over the cold stone floor.

Could Christie, who some say can close great bridges through a wink to a subordinate, not find a way?  Marco Rubio’s forebears defied a Communist dictator and found a new home in a free country.  Surely the hot blood that fueled their determination is not completely diluted in his veins.  Scott Walker stood up to an organized takeover of his state capitol by angry demonstrators.  And yet not one of those three or any of the other competitors could turn to a trusted aide and say, “I want him out of the race.  Find a way.  Don’t tell me how you did it.”

Now, if one of them had taken Mr. Trump out of the race, it would not have been clear sailing for the eventual winner of the nomination.  Remember that Mitt Romney, who appears to have led a blameless life, was accused of having been part of a group in high school that might very well have forcibly cut the hair of a student who might possibly have been gay.  And of course, this kind of anti-gay bias is something that stays with a person forever.  Romney was also held responsible for the death of a former employee’s wife some years after the employee separated from service at a company that Romney’s firm acquired.  And Harry Reid charged Mitt with failure to pay federal taxes for a decade.  Reid made his accusation on the floor of the Senate, where he is immune from charges of libel and slander.

Bridgegate would have made Christie an easy target as the nominee.  Scott Walker could have been portrayed as a crazed anti-union fanatic, in the pocket of the Koch brothers.  In his autobiography, Marco Rubio fuddled the dates of his family’s move from Cuba, so that would have made him a target.  Incidentally, that kind of inaccuracy cannot be compared to Secretary Clinton’s reports of gunfire in Sarajevo or Senator Clinton’s eyewitness account of events on September 11, 2001 that didn’t actually take place – those are “brain freezes” and a cause for a warm chuckle among friends.  Who knows what corrupt deals Marco may have done as Speaker of the Florida state house of representatives?  And as a protégé of Jeb Bush, Rubio could have been charged with any number of Jeb’s missteps when he was Florida’s governor.

So, if someone had taken out Donald Trump in the primaries, the eventual Republican nominee would have run into some rough treatment.  It wouldn’t have been clear sailing.  But at least the Republican party would have avoided the embarrassment of losing to the Clintons over a sex scandal.

Edited 10/22/16 to correct a typo.

2 thoughts on “The Trump Tapes”

  1. But what does it say about the party of those sixteen — its philosophy and its politics — that the vast majority of Republican voters will vote (some holding their noses, no doubt, but the rightly-named deplorables pulling the lever with fiery enthusiasm) for such a disaster of a human being as Donald J. Trump? The 2016 party of Lincoln — one that would make the 16th president of the United States run for the hills — has sown the whirlwind, it seems to me. By the way, Mr. Trump is not running against “the Clintons” any more than Secretary Clinton is running against “the Trumps.”

    1. Thanks for reading and thanks for commenting. Your reference to Lincoln reminds me that I have been trying to organize my thoughts around another post on his thoughts. My attention has been pulled away from more important things by this most unusual presidential election. I know I would be better off if I focused on something else, but the dramatic and outsized personalities involved this time around have pulled me in. I feel the need to reply to your reply, but I do so with my eye on November 9.

      Undoubtedly many Trump voters will hold their noses as they mark their ballots, but so will many Clinton voters. Not you, I know. You support her enthusiastically. But many who will vote for her will do so reluctantly, only because in their minds the alternative is worse.
      For one thing, many voters who are ready for a woman president might prefer someone who achieved success without riding her husband’s coat tails.

      There is a long tradition of political wives who succeed to their spouse’s office but would not be in politics (elective politics, at least) otherwise. Lurleen Wallace and Lindy Boggs come to mind from decades past. But there are plenty of successful female politicians who did not rely on a political husband to achieve their position. Look at the two senators from Washington or California or Maine (the list is longer). There are female governors in South Carolina and New Mexico. The minority leader in the House (and former Speaker) is a woman with a non-political spouse.

      Into which of those categories would you place Hillary Clinton? Had she been married to a non-political spouse, isn’t it likely that she would have finished her career as the general counsel or executive director of NARAL, Children’s Defense Fund, or the like or possibly as the chief of staff of a prominent senator or cabinet official? It’s very doubtful that she could have won the New York senate seat that was open in 2000 with that resume.

      Lots of ballots will be marked for Hillary by people who do so reluctantly as they think of what might have been.
      Other nose-holders include supporters of the Elizabeth Warren wing of the Democratic party (with Bernie Sanders caucusing). Mrs. Clinton’s close ties to Wall Street and her now-published statements that she finds it necessary to maintain different public and private positions on many issues have not endeared her to the Warrenites. True, Senator Warren is campaigning for Mrs. Clinton, but I’m talking about the level of enthusiasm of the voters.

      Finally, when you object to my reference to “the Clintons” I think you are being more royalist than the king. As far back as 1992 in his first presidential campaign, Bill Clinton famously said, “Buy one, get one free.” Of course they are “the Clintons”. They have worked together as a team and have built the most successful political machine we have seen for decades. Most political machines of the past were local affairs (Tammany Hall in New York, Pendergast in Missouri, Daley in Chicago, etc.) The national, even international, reach of the Clinton machine may make it the most successful political organization ever. (I am assuming that she is going to win the election. If she were to lose, perhaps we would have to reassess that last statement.)

      In the White House, she was his consigliere and fixer (and before, too – remember the cattle futures contracts were in her name, not his). Now that she is a candidate, he is doing his bit. He spoke at the convention, he has campaigned for her and vouched for her. Their fund-raising prowess can be compared to Barack Obama’s but to no one else. She points with pride to his accomplishments as president and has said that he will advise her on economic policy. (I’m sure John Kasich will make himself available if called upon, although he will insist on taking all the credit.)

      Apart from that, “the Clintons” really has to include the whole apparatus that is being presented to us courtesy of the purloined emails. This network of donors, house-trained journalists, and accommodating public officials is at the threshold of victory and power. There is nothing like it on the other side. There is no organized network of similar breadth and depth that could be called “the Trumps” or even “the Republicans”.

      So, enjoy the coming victory (keeping in mind that surprises do happen), but let’s remember that this is not Gandalf vs. Mordor.

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